| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.0% | 56% | -4.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 78.7% | 81% | -2.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 69.7% | 75% | -4.8% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.3% | 57% | +0.8% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.8% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 53.3% | 25.5% | 21.2% |
| xgboost | 46.1% | 29.0% | 24.9% |
| logistic | 52.8% | 25.6% | 21.6% |
| Fulham | Hull | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1651 | 1605 |
| Surface Elo | 1651 | 1605 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | 0.50 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 13 Oct | A | Walsall | 2 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Ipswich Town U21 | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Ipswich | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Hornchurch | 1 - 1 | D |
| 22 Sep | A | Leicester | 1 - 6 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Everton | 2 - 2 | D |
| 11 Oct | H | Everton | 2 - 2 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Newcastle | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Chelsea | 2 - 2 | D |
| 05 Sep | H | Aston Villa | 0 - 0 | D |
| 12 Feb 2022 | Hull | 0 - 1 | Fulham |
| 21 Aug 2021 | Fulham | 2 - 0 | Hull |
| 11 Jan 2020 | Hull | 0 - 1 | Fulham |
| 02 Nov 2019 | Fulham | 0 - 3 | Hull |
| 30 Dec 2017 | Hull | 2 - 2 | Fulham |
| 13 Sep 2017 | Fulham | 2 - 1 | Hull |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.74 | 21.1% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.08 | 24.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.77 | 56.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.74 | 57.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |