| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No prediction run for this match yet. | |||||
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| – | |||
| Burnley | Derby | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1509 | 1498 |
| Surface Elo | 1509 | 1498 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.14 | 0.86 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.29 | 1.86 |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 2 D |
| 12 Sep | A | Swansea | 1 - 3 | L |
| 08 Sep | A | Wrexham | 1 - 1 | D |
| 05 Sep | H | Bristol City | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Sep | H | Middlesbrough | 1 - 1 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | Norwich | 1 - 4 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Birmingham | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Sep | H | West Brom | 0 - 1 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | West Ham | 0 - 3 | L |
| 01 Sep | A | Portsmouth | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Swansea | 0 - 3 | L |
| 08 Apr 2025 | Derby | 0 - 0 | Burnley |
| 10 Dec 2024 | Burnley | 0 - 0 | Derby |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 4.33 | 23.1% | 19 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 19 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.76 | 56.8% | 19 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.80 | 55.6% | 19 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.00 | 50.0% | 19 Sep 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.16 | 24.0% | 19 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.79 | 26.4% | 19 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.90 | 52.6% | 19 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.85 | 54.0% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.00 | 50.0% | 19 Sep 06:16 |