| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 65.4% | 87% | -21.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 69.3% | 30.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| logistic | failed: ValueError | |
| xgboost | failed: ValueError | |
| Max Hans Rehberg | Andrey Chepelev | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1586 | 1432 |
| Surface Elo | 1586 | 1432 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 12 | 33 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 Sep | H | Vanshelboim, E | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Sep | H | Weis, A | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Misasi, Giannicola | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Catini, N | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Thiago Monteiro | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Sep | A | De Marchi, Andrea | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Sep | A | Comino, Lorenzo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Battiston, A | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Aug | H | Luca Staeheli | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Jul | H | Hugo Gaston | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.75 | 21.1% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.15 | 87.0% | 19 Sep 06:16 |