| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 61.8% | 58% | +4.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.4% | 51.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 34.0% | 66.0% |
| logistic | 37.7% | 62.3% |
| Valentin Vacherot | Alexander Blockx | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1803 | 1933 |
| Surface Elo | 1803 | 1933 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 20 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | A | Alexander Blockx | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Lloyd Harris | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Lloyd Harris | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Sep | A | Frances Tiafoe | 0 - 3 | L |
| 02 Sep | A | Kamil Majchrzak | 3 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Valentin Vacherot | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Sep | H | Karen Khachanov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Francisco Cerundolo | 3 - 1 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Flavio Cobolli | 3 - 1 | W |
| 03 Sep | H | Marco Trungelliti | 3 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Alexander Blockx | 0 - 2 | Valentin Vacherot |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.73 | 57.8% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 29 Sep 06:15 |