| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 80.9% | 85% | -4.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 28.9% | 71.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 17.9% | 82.0% |
| logistic | 25.4% | 74.6% |
| Thomas Faurel | Mark Lajal | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1469 | 1753 |
| Surface Elo | 1469 | 1753 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | A | Hugo Grenier | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Mark Lajal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Hugo Grenier | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Dusan Obradovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Calvin Hemery | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | David Goffin | 1 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Titouan Droguet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Thomas Faurel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | David Goffin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Titouan Droguet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Mark Lajal | 2 - 0 | Thomas Faurel |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.17 | 85.5% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.60 | 21.7% | 23 Sep 06:15 |