| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 47.9% | 50% | -2.1% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.7% | 77% | -2.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 62.4% | 69% | -6.1% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.0% | 55% | +0.8% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 44.0% | 25.3% | 30.7% |
| xgboost | 43.0% | 30.1% | 26.9% |
| logistic | 42.0% | 28.4% | 29.6% |
| Wycombe | Notts County | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1489 | 1475 |
| Surface Elo | 1489 | 1475 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.33 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 10 Oct | H | Luton | 1 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Luton | 1 - 4 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Bristol Rovers | 4 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Reading | 2 - 2 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | Reading | 2 - 2 | D |
| 13 Oct | H | Nottingham Forest | 5 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Oxford | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Oxford | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Grimsby | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Reading | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Mar 2018 | Notts County | 0 - 0 | Wycombe |
| 19 Aug 2017 | Wycombe | 2 - 4 | Notts County |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.70 | 27.0% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.00 | 50.0% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.81 | 55.2% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.97 | 50.8% | 16 Oct 06:15 |