| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 47.7% | 48% | +0.1% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 75.4% | 76% | -0.8% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 64.8% | 65% | -0.3% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 49.8% | 55% | -5.1% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.3% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 46.1% | 28.8% | 25.1% |
| xgboost | 46.3% | 27.4% | 26.2% |
| logistic | 46.7% | 29.1% | 24.3% |
| Colchester | Gillingham | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1394 | 1405 |
| Surface Elo | 1394 | 1405 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.57 | 1.38 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.71 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.43 | 1.63 |
| Rest days | 14 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 2 W · 3 D |
| 10 Nov | H | Ipswich Town U21 | 0 - 0 | D |
| 07 Nov | H | Worcester City | 1 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Walsall | 1 - 3 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Walsall | 1 - 3 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Northampton | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Nov | A | Northampton | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Nov | H | Barrow | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Huddersfield Town (R) | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | A | Shrewsbury | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Shrewsbury | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Gillingham | 1 - 1 | Colchester |
| 06 Dec 2025 | Colchester | 0 - 0 | Gillingham |
| 01 Apr 2025 | Gillingham | 1 - 1 | Colchester |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Colchester | 2 - 0 | Gillingham |
| 01 Jan 2024 | Colchester | 0 - 1 | Gillingham |
| 26 Aug 2023 | Gillingham | 0 - 3 | Colchester |
| 21 Jan 2023 | Colchester | 0 - 2 | Gillingham |
| 26 Dec 2022 | Gillingham | 0 - 1 | Colchester |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.33 | 30.0% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.92 | 52.1% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.82 | 54.9% | 12 Nov 06:15 |