| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.8% | 70% | -14.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 58.2% | 41.7% |
| logistic | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Filip Pieczonka | Adrian Oetzbach | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1437 | 1418 |
| Surface Elo | 1437 | 1418 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 17 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 17 Sep | H | Marco Trungelliti | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Marco Trungelliti | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Tiago Pereira | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Aug | H | Harold Mayot | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Mar | A | Felix Gill | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Imanol Lopez Morillo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Trione, Riccardo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | George Lazarov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Mar | H | Filippo Romano | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Sep | H | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.70 | 37.0% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.43 | 69.9% | 04 Oct 06:15 |