| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 83.8% | 99% | -15.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 76.5% | 23.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 93.7% | 6.3% |
| logistic | 75.4% | 24.6% |
| Michael Zheng | Yaojie Zeng | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1748 | 1443 |
| Surface Elo | 1748 | 1443 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 15 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 29 Sep | H | Yanki Erel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Yaojie Zeng | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Bu Yunchaokete | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Yunchaokete Bu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Darwin Blanch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Michael Zheng | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Akira Santillan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Apr | A | Leo Vithoontien | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct | A | Arthur Cazaux | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct | A | Aleksandre Bakshi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep 2026 | Michael Zheng | 2 - 0 | Yaojie Zeng |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 12.50 | 8.0% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.01 | 99.0% | 28 Sep 06:15 |