| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 76.7% | 78% | -0.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 29.1% | 70.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 18.5% | 81.4% |
| logistic | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Bu Yunchaokete | Novak Djokovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1840 | 2095 |
| Surface Elo | 1840 | 2095 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | A | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Roman Safiullin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Kamil Majchrzak | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Michael Zheng | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Nov | H | Jurij Rodionov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | Yunchaokete Bu | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Nuno Borges | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Nuno Borges | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Mariano Navone | 2 - 3 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.29 | 77.5% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.80 | 26.3% | 01 Oct 06:15 |