OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-23
⚽ England Amateur FA Womens League Cup · Wednesday 23 September 2026, 18:00 UTC · abandoned
Crystal Palace 0.80 18:00 0.60 Watford
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 59.7%81%-20.9%abandoned
DCHome or draw 85.7%98%-12.2%abandoned
DNBHome (DNB) 82.3%96%-13.2%abandoned
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 46.3%76%-29.5%abandoned
BTTSBTTS yes 51.9%no lineabandoned
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson58.5%24.4%17.1%
xgboost64.1%21.9%14.0%
logistic59.2%24.8%16.1%
Inputs the models saw
Crystal PalaceWatford
Elo (pre-match)16601452
Surface Elo16601452
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.800.60
Form trend-0.200.00
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days34
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W2 W · 2 D
Crystal Palace: last 5
22 SepAPlymouth1 - 5L
20 SepALeeds0 - 0D
12 SepHIpswich2 - 3L
05 SepAFulham3 - 2W
28 AugHManchester City1 - 4L
Watford: last 5
18 SepABristol City0 - 1L
12 SepHStoke1 - 2L
08 SepHPreston2 - 1W
05 SepAWest Brom0 - 1L
01 SepASwansea0 - 2L
Head to head
07 May 2022Crystal Palace1 - 0Watford
23 Feb 2022Watford1 - 4Crystal Palace
07 Mar 2020Crystal Palace1 - 0Watford
07 Dec 2019Watford0 - 0Crystal Palace
12 Jan 2019Crystal Palace1 - 2Watford
26 Aug 2018Watford2 - 1Crystal Palace
21 Apr 2018Watford0 - 0Crystal Palace
12 Dec 2017Crystal Palace2 - 1Watford
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away8.1012.3%23 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw5.8017.2%23 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.2480.7%23 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.3275.8%23 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under3.0033.3%23 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 20:28 UTC