| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.0% | 58% | -0.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.8% | 53.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 35.8% | 64.2% |
| logistic | 45.2% | 54.8% |
| Jelena Ostapenko | Belinda Bencic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1703 | 1736 |
| Surface Elo | 1703 | 1736 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.29 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 2 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Belinda Bencic | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Sonay Kartal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Leylah Fernandez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Daria Kasatkina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Sonay Kartal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Katarzyna Kawa | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Jelena Ostapenko | 1 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Sonay Kartal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Sonay Kartal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Ann Li | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Belinda Bencic | 1 - 0 | Jelena Ostapenko |
| 12 Jan 2025 | Belinda Bencic | 2 - 0 | Jelena Ostapenko |
| 20 Jan 2020 | Belinda Bencic | 2 - 0 | Jelena Ostapenko |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.69 | 59.2% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 20 Oct 06:15 |