| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 75.8% | 85% | -9.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 68.4% | 31.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 88.3% | 11.7% |
| logistic | 79.8% | 20.2% |
| Leylah Fernandez | Himeno Sakatsume | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1783 | 1488 |
| Surface Elo | 1783 | 1488 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.36 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.71 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.79 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 25 Oct | A | Elena Rybakina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Marie Bouzkova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Elise Mertens | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Katie Boulter | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Katie Boulter | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Ayla Aksu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Simona Waltert | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Viktoria Hruncakova | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.65 | 21.5% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.21 | 82.6% | 26 Oct 06:15 |