| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 63.8% | 83% | -19.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 37.7% | 62.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 14.6% | 85.4% |
| logistic | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| Adrien Gobat | Daniel Masur | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1607 | 1602 |
| Surface Elo | 1607 | 1602 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.38 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Oct | H | Mae Malige | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Robert Strombachs | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Martin Riu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Romain Andres | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Jelle Sels | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Mickael Kaouk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Georgii Kravchenko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Sebastian Dominko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | A | Murphy Cassone | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.20 | 83.3% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.00 | 25.0% | 23 Oct 06:15 |