| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 59.0% | 65% | -6.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 43.6% | 56.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 46.4% | 53.5% |
| logistic | 39.2% | 60.8% |
| Gabriele Piraino | Felix Gill | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1468 | 1583 |
| Surface Elo | 1468 | 1583 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 3 | 16 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Felix Gill | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Enrico Dalla Valle | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Jay Clarke | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Enrico Dalla Valle | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Jay Clarke | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Radu Mihai Papoe | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Buvaysar Gadamauri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Izan Almazan Valiente | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Gabriele Piraino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Jonas Forejtek | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Felix Gill | 2 - 0 | Gabriele Piraino |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.53 | 65.4% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 12 Oct 06:15 |