| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.4% | 50% | +4.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 46.1% | 37.8% |
| xgboost | 39.7% | 58.6% |
| logistic | 52.8% | 47.2% |
| Ottawa Senators | Florida Panthers | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1546 | 1514 |
| Surface Elo | 1546 | 1514 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.67 | 0.56 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.56 | 2.78 |
| Rest days | 4 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 4 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | A | Philadelphia Flyers | 1 - 3 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | New York Islanders | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | St. Louis Blues | 2 - 7 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | New Jersey Devils | 4 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Nashville Predators | 3 - 2 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Seattle Kraken | 8 - 3 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Vancouver Canucks | 3 - 2 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Columbus Blue Jackets | 7 - 3 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Buffalo Sabres | 3 - 5 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Minnesota Wild | 1 - 4 | L |
| 09 Apr 2026 | Ottawa Senators | 5 - 1 | Florida Panthers |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Florida Panthers | 6 - 3 | Ottawa Senators |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Ottawa Senators | 2 - 3 | Florida Panthers |
| 11 Oct 2025 | Florida Panthers | 6 - 2 | Ottawa Senators |
| 05 Apr 2025 | Ottawa Senators | 3 - 0 | Florida Panthers |
| 09 Feb 2025 | Florida Panthers | 5 - 1 | Ottawa Senators |
| 10 Oct 2024 | Ottawa Senators | 3 - 1 | Florida Panthers |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.90 | 52.6% | 21 Oct 23:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.00 | 50.0% | 21 Oct 23:20 |