| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 67.4% | 74% | -6.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 31.1% | 68.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 27.2% | 72.8% |
| logistic | 32.9% | 67.1% |
| Oscar Jose Gutierrez | Yanaki Milev | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1294 | 1494 |
| Surface Elo | 1294 | 1494 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 4 | 11 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 29 Sep | A | Pedro Rodenas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Ivan Gakhov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Munk Mesa, Bernardo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Nov | A | Michael Agwi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Jul | A | Adria Soriano Barrera | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Tommaso Compagnucci | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Luca Wiedenmann | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Tommaso Compagnucci | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Kirill Kivattsev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Georgii Kravchenko | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.36 | 73.5% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.00 | 33.3% | 04 Oct 06:15 |