| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.7% | 58% | -0.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 36.0% | 47.6% |
| xgboost | 37.5% | 61.6% |
| logistic | 53.8% | 46.2% |
| Calgary Flames | New York Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1456 | 1470 |
| Surface Elo | 1456 | 1470 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.44 | 0.53 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.56 | 2.95 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.50 | 2.89 |
| Rest days | 3 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 09 Nov | H | Philadelphia Flyers | 4 - 3 | W |
| 07 Nov | H | Anaheim Ducks | 3 - 5 | L |
| 05 Nov | A | Seattle Kraken | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | San Jose Sharks | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | A | Colorado Avalanche | 2 - 5 | L |
| 10 Nov | A | Edmonton Oilers | 1 - 3 | L |
| 07 Nov | A | Seattle Kraken | 4 - 3 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | Philadelphia Flyers | 3 - 2 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | St. Louis Blues | 3 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Edmonton Oilers | 1 - 4 | L |
| 10 Mar 2026 | New York Rangers | 4 - 0 | Calgary Flames |
| 27 Oct 2025 | Calgary Flames | 5 - 1 | New York Rangers |
| 18 Mar 2025 | New York Rangers | 1 - 2 | Calgary Flames |
| 22 Nov 2024 | Calgary Flames | 3 - 2 | New York Rangers |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 12 Nov 00:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 1.72 | 58.1% | 12 Nov 00:20 |