| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win selected | 65.7% | 62% | +4.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 54.3% | 45.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 74.1% | 25.8% |
| logistic | 65.3% | 34.7% |
| Harold Mayot | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1673 | 1528 |
| Surface Elo | 1673 | 1528 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 13 | 13 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Tristan Schoolkate | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Clement Chidekh | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Clement Tabur | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Titouan Droguet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Francesco Maestrelli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Ugo Blanchet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Maxime Janvier | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Harold Mayot | 1 - 2 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Harold Mayot | 2 - 0 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg |
| 20 Mar 2023 | Harold Mayot | 2 - 0 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.20 | 45.5% | 20 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.62 | 61.7% | 20 Sep 06:16 |