| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.7% | 65% | -1.8% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 86.3% | 85% | +0.9% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 81.8% | 80% | +1.4% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.3% | 72% | -12.1% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 60.7% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 70.6% | 16.9% | 12.5% |
| xgboost | 62.5% | 20.7% | 16.8% |
| logistic | 64.5% | 23.2% | 12.3% |
| Wolfsburg | Osnabruck | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1540 | 1368 |
| Surface Elo | 1540 | 1368 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | -0.50 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 1.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.67 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Oct | A | Freiburg | 2 - 3 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Bochum | 1 - 1 | D |
| 23 Oct | A | Bochum | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Heidenheim | 3 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Heidenheim | 3 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Greuther Furth | 3 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Greuther Furth | 3 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Bielefeld | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Bielefeld | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Dresden | 1 - 1 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.10 | 19.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.80 | 20.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.55 | 64.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.39 | 71.9% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.95 | 33.9% | 30 Oct 06:15 |