| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.2% | 34% | +18.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.6% | 35.0% |
| xgboost | 53.7% | 46.3% |
| logistic | 51.0% | 49.0% |
| Cuenin, Sean | Marco Trungelliti | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1500 | 1714 |
| Surface Elo | 1500 | 1714 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.50 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| No results yet. |
| 14 Sep | H | Thiago Monteiro | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Marco Cecchinato | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Filip Pieczonka | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Sean Cuenin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Tiago Pereira | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.36 | 73.5% | 15 Sep 09:05 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.95 | 33.9% | 15 Sep 09:05 |