| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.8% | 76% | -24.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.8% | 51.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 36.2% | 63.8% |
| logistic | 61.2% | 38.8% |
| Juan Sebastian Osorio | Pedro Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1469 | 1393 |
| Surface Elo | 1469 | 1393 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 81 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Sep | H | Echazu, M | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Zanellato, N | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Sakamoto, P | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Garcia Finetto, Rafael Augusto | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Jul | H | Matias Soto | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Jul | H | Tristan McCormick | 0 - 1 | L |
| 29 Jun | A | Alan Magadan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 May | H | Stefan Dostanic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 May | A | Franco Roncadelli | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.31 | 76.3% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.15 | 31.8% | 25 Sep 06:15 |