| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.4% | 35% | +21.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Draw or away | 82.7% | 61% | +21.3% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 75.8% | 47% | +29.2% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.2% | 67% | -10.5% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 12.3% | 18.8% | 68.9% |
| xgboost | 24.0% | 26.1% | 49.9% |
| logistic | 17.4% | 25.9% | 56.7% |
| Wealdstone | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1362 | 1665 |
| Surface Elo | 1362 | 1665 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 10 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | H | Yeovil | 0 - 6 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Yeovil | 0 - 6 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Barrow | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Barrow | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Forest Green | 1 - 1 | D |
| 18 Oct | H | Arsenal | 0 - 1 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Arsenal | 0 - 1 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Notts County | 1 - 5 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Crystal Palace | 1 - 3 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Crystal Palace | 1 - 3 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.85 | 35.1% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.50 | 66.7% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.55 | 39.2% | 20 Oct 06:15 |