| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win selected | 72.4% | 63% | +9.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 73.4% | 26.5% |
| logistic | 72.7% | 27.3% |
| Dusan Lajovic | Diego Dedura Palomero | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1705 | 1510 |
| Surface Elo | 1705 | 1510 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 8 | 484 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | A | Diego Dedura | 0 - 1 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 1 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Max Alcala Gurri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Henrique Rocha | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 May | H | Luciano Darderi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Apr | H | Zizou Bergs | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Apr | A | Denis Shapovalov | 1 - 0 | W |
| 25 Nov | H | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Nov | H | Pedro Sakamoto | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 15 Sep 09:05 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.59 | 62.9% | 15 Sep 09:05 |