| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.0% | 60% | -2.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 43.4% | 56.6% |
| logistic | 48.4% | 51.6% |
| Dominic Stricker | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1641 | 1690 |
| Surface Elo | 1641 | 1690 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.83 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 14 Oct | H | Philip Henning | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Otto Virtanen | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Philip Henning | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Laslo Djere | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Marko Topo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Remy Bertola | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Dominic Stricker | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Remy Bertola | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Tiago Pereira | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Tiago Pereira | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Dominic Stricker | 2 - 1 | Otto Virtanen |
| 06 Mar 2023 | Dominic Stricker | 1 - 2 | Otto Virtanen |
| 31 Oct 2022 | Dominic Stricker | 0 - 2 | Otto Virtanen |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.66 | 60.2% | 15 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 15 Oct 06:15 |