| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.5% | 80% | -25.2% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 79.2% | 97% | -18.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 71.4% | 95% | -23.9% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.8% | 66% | -10.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 48.5% | 26.0% | 25.5% |
| xgboost | 68.3% | 18.5% | 13.2% |
| logistic | 60.2% | 22.9% | 17.0% |
| Ross County | Alloa | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1539 | 1448 |
| Surface Elo | 1539 | 1448 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.70 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 14 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | A | Clachnacuddin FC | 5 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Cove Rangers | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Cove Rangers | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Queen of Sth | 8 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | East Fife | 2 - 2 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 2 - 2 | D |
| 22 Sep | H | Hibernian | 4 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | East Kilbride | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | East Kilbride | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Airdrie Utd | 0 - 1 | L |
| 30 Mar 2019 | Alloa | 1 - 0 | Ross County |
| 26 Jan 2019 | Ross County | 2 - 0 | Alloa |
| 01 Dec 2018 | Alloa | 0 - 1 | Ross County |
| 04 Aug 2018 | Ross County | 1 - 0 | Alloa |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 8.60 | 11.6% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.60 | 17.9% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.28 | 78.1% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.50 | 66.7% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.45 | 40.8% | 02 Oct 06:15 |