OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-03
⚽ England League One · Saturday 03 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · abandoned
Wigan 0.80 14:00 1.00 Mansfield
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 44.0%34%+9.5%abandoned
DCHome or away 72.6%78%-5.4%abandoned
DNBAway (DNB) 57.8%47%+11.0%abandoned
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 52.0%58%-6.1%abandoned
BTTSBTTS yes 54.8%no lineabandoned
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson34.7%29.3%36.0%
xgboost34.6%27.0%38.4%
logistic36.7%28.7%34.6%
Inputs the models saw
WiganMansfield
Elo (pre-match)14131524
Surface Elo14131524
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.801.00
Form trend0.200.30
Season points per game0.001.00
Season goals for / game0.002.00
Season goals against / game1.002.00
Rest days1414
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W1 W · 2 D
Wigan: last 5
22 SepHBlackpool3 - 2W
19 SepHWycombe0 - 1L
19 SepHWycombe0 - 1L
12 SepASheffield Weds0 - 0D
05 SepHStockport0 - 4L
Mansfield: last 5
19 SepABurton2 - 2D
19 SepABurton2 - 2D
12 SepHHuddersfield0 - 0D
05 SepABradford0 - 1L
02 SepAReading0 - 5L
Head to head
11 Apr 2026Wigan2 - 1Mansfield
25 Oct 2025Mansfield1 - 1Wigan
04 Mar 2025Mansfield0 - 0Wigan
22 Oct 2024Wigan1 - 2Mansfield
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.9034.5%03 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6027.8%03 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.3043.5%03 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7258.1%03 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.0548.8%03 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:24 UTC