| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.3% | 57% | -4.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.2% | 53.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| logistic | failed: ValueError | |
| xgboost | failed: ValueError | |
| Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | Luka Mikrut | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1597 | 1717 |
| Surface Elo | 1597 | 1717 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 12 | 110 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 Sep | H | Zdenek Kolar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Sep | A | Daniel Elahi Galan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Dali Blanch | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Thiago Monteiro | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Luka Mikrut | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Tom Gentzsch | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Laslo Djere | 1 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Strombachs, Robert | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Tom Gentzsch | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Luka Mikrut | 0 - 2 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.75 | 57.1% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.00 | 50.0% | 19 Sep 06:16 |