| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.8% | 64% | -6.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.4% | 43.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 57.1% | 42.8% |
| logistic | 55.2% | 44.8% |
| Juan Pablo Ficovich | Murkel Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1427 | 1471 |
| Surface Elo | 1427 | 1471 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.29 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 0.86 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.14 |
| Rest days | 7 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 02 Nov | A | Federico Coria | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Murkel Dellien | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Franco Ribero | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | H | Dante Pagani | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Dante Pagani | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Juan Pablo Ficovich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Dante Pagani | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Luis "Guto" Miguel | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Luis "Guto" Miguel | 0 - 1 | L |
| 02 Nov 2026 | Juan Pablo Ficovich | 2 - 0 | Murkel Dellien |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.30 | 43.5% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.57 | 63.7% | 05 Nov 06:15 |