| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 46.3% | 40% | +6.6% | |
| DC | Home or away | 77.2% | 76% | +1.1% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 58.3% | 53% | +5.0% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.5% | 64% | +0.9% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 64.3% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 36.0% | 25.1% | 38.9% |
| xgboost | 30.4% | 21.2% | 48.4% |
| logistic | 31.1% | 26.9% | 42.0% |
| Nice | Rennes | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1621 | 1746 |
| Surface Elo | 1621 | 1746 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 3.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| Rest days | 6 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 4 W · 1 D |
| 23 Oct | A | Brest | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Brest | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Lyon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Lyon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Strasbourg | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Strasbourg | 3 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Strasbourg | 3 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Juventus | 2 - 2 | D |
| 18 Oct | A | Paris FC | 3 - 4 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Paris FC | 3 - 4 | L |
| 08 Mar 2026 | Nice | 0 - 4 | Rennes |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Rennes | 1 - 2 | Nice |
| 10 May 2025 | Rennes | 2 - 0 | Nice |
| 03 Jan 2025 | Nice | 3 - 2 | Rennes |
| 13 Jan 2024 | Rennes | 2 - 0 | Nice |
| 05 Nov 2023 | Nice | 2 - 0 | Rennes |
| 06 May 2023 | Nice | 2 - 1 | Rennes |
| 02 Jan 2023 | Rennes | 2 - 1 | Nice |
| 02 Apr 2022 | Nice | 1 - 1 | Rennes |
| 12 Dec 2021 | Rennes | 1 - 2 | Nice |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.64 | 37.9% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.77 | 26.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.66 | 37.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.61 | 62.1% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.40 | 41.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |