| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.9% | 12% | +45.9% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 81.5% | 92% | -10.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 71.8% | 14% | +57.6% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.1% | 77% | -25.5% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 49.6% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 14.6% | 18.6% | 66.8% |
| xgboost | 38.2% | 26.8% | 35.0% |
| logistic | 30.1% | 28.5% | 41.4% |
| Edinburgh City | Dundee United | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1352 | 1624 |
| Surface Elo | 1352 | 1624 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Kelty Hearts | 3 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Kelty Hearts | 3 - 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Stirling | 7 - 3 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | Clyde | 2 - 3 | L |
| 28 Aug | H | Forfar | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | St Mirren | 3 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | St Mirren | 3 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Falkirk | 1 - 1 | D |
| 02 Sep | A | Motherwell | 0 - 3 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Kilmarnock | 4 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 9.00 | 11.1% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 6.50 | 15.4% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.23 | 81.3% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.28 | 78.1% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.50 | 28.6% | 22 Sep 06:15 |