| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 69.6% | 81% | -11.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 86.0% | 13.9% |
| logistic | 67.1% | 32.9% |
| Coleman Wong | Cruz Hewitt | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1745 | 1569 |
| Surface Elo | 1745 | 1569 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 18 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Sep | A | Daniil Medvedev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Daniil Medvedev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Zhizhen Zhang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Sep | H | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Singh, Digvijay Pratap | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Ilia Simakin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Digvijaypratap Singh | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.40 | 22.7% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.23 | 81.3% | 05 Oct 06:15 |