| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.1% | 53% | +1.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 63.8% | 36.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 45.4% | 54.5% |
| logistic | 47.9% | 52.1% |
| Roman Safiullin | Bu Yunchaokete | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1833 | 1839 |
| Surface Elo | 1833 | 1839 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Sep | H | Yunchaokete Bu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Quentin Halys | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Quentin Halys | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Fajing Sun | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Carlos Alcaraz | 0 - 3 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Kamil Majchrzak | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Michael Zheng | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Nov | H | Jurij Rodionov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Nov | H | Elias Ymer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Alex Michelsen | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.95 | 51.3% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.89 | 52.9% | 27 Sep 06:15 |