| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 67.3% | 91% | -24.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 90.6% | 100% | -9.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 86.3% | 99% | -13.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.8% | 79% | -21.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.1% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 76.7% | 15.9% | 7.3% |
| xgboost | 82.4% | 12.2% | 5.4% |
| logistic | 84.8% | 11.5% | 3.7% |
| Barcelona | Getafe | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1939 | 1602 |
| Surface Elo | 1939 | 1602 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.50 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 4.43 | 0.57 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 20 | 20 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 6 W | 0 W · 4 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Sevilla | 3 - 1 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Santander | 7 - 2 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Levante | 4 - 2 | W |
| 06 Sep | A | Valencia | 5 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Vallecano | 5 - 2 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Numancia | 0 - 0 | D |
| 20 Sep | H | Malaga | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | CF Talavera de La Reina | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Sep | A | Betis | 0 - 1 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | La Coruna | 1 - 1 | D |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Getafe | 0 - 2 | Barcelona |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Barcelona | 3 - 0 | Getafe |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Getafe | 1 - 1 | Barcelona |
| 25 Sep 2024 | Barcelona | 1 - 0 | Getafe |
| 24 Feb 2024 | Barcelona | 4 - 0 | Getafe |
| 13 Aug 2023 | Getafe | 0 - 0 | Barcelona |
| 16 Apr 2023 | Getafe | 0 - 0 | Barcelona |
| 22 Jan 2023 | Barcelona | 1 - 0 | Getafe |
| 15 May 2022 | Getafe | 0 - 0 | Barcelona |
| 29 Aug 2021 | Barcelona | 2 - 1 | Getafe |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 19.00 | 5.3% | 10 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 11.00 | 9.1% | 10 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.10 | 90.9% | 10 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.29 | 77.5% | 10 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.75 | 26.7% | 10 Oct 17:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 27.06 | 3.7% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 12.09 | 8.3% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.11 | 90.1% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.28 | 78.1% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.90 | 25.6% | 10 Oct 06:15 |