| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.4% | 65% | +1.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 70.6% | 29.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 60.8% | 39.1% |
| logistic | 71.7% | 28.3% |
| Dylan Dietrich | Colton Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1739 | 1561 |
| Surface Elo | 1739 | 1561 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.63 | 1.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.63 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.25 | 1.20 |
| Rest days | 22 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 04 Oct | H | Abdullah Shelbayh | 1 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Darwin Blanch | 1 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Andrew Fenty | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Wolf, Jeffrey John | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Aidan Mayo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Aidan Mayo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Aidan Mayo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Duncan Chan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Aidan Mayo | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.40 | 41.7% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.54 | 64.9% | 26 Oct 06:15 |