OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
⚽ Scotland Championship · Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Arbroath 0.80 1 - 2 0.00 Morton
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 52.1%54%-2.2%✗ miss
DCHome or draw 77.2%83%-5.7%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 67.8%74%-6.7%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 56.3%58%-2.1%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 54.2%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson46.4%27.2%26.5%
xgboost50.1%28.3%21.7%
logistic48.0%28.4%23.6%
Inputs the models saw
ArbroathMorton
Elo (pre-match)15351388
Surface Elo15351388
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.800.00
Form trend-0.100.00
Season points per game1.000.00
Season goals for / game0.670.33
Season goals against / game1.671.67
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W5 W · 3 D
Arbroath: last 5
03 OctAPartick0 - 3L
03 OctAPartick0 - 3L
25 SepHQueens Park2 - 1W
25 SepHQueens Park2 - 1W
19 SepAStenhousemuir0 - 1L
Morton: last 5
03 OctHRaith Rovers FC1 - 2L
03 OctHRaith Rvs1 - 2L
25 SepAInverness C0 - 2L
25 SepAInverness Caledonian Thistle FC0 - 2L
19 SepHDunfermline0 - 1L
Head to head
22 Aug 2026Morton1 - 2Arbroath
28 Mar 2026Morton2 - 1Arbroath
23 Jan 2026Arbroath1 - 1Morton
08 Nov 2025Morton1 - 0Arbroath
20 Sep 2025Arbroath1 - 1Morton
20 Apr 2024Arbroath1 - 2Morton
27 Jan 2024Morton3 - 0Arbroath
09 Dec 2023Arbroath1 - 2Morton
26 Aug 2023Morton0 - 3Arbroath
17 Mar 2023Arbroath1 - 1Morton
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away4.4022.7%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.5028.6%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.8454.4%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.0548.8%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.7158.5%09 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:05 UTC