| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.4% | 56% | -3.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.4% | 47.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 50.4% | 49.6% |
| logistic | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Ozan Baris | James Trotter | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1469 | 1463 |
| Surface Elo | 1469 | 1463 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 0.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.40 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 25 Oct | H | Hunter Heck | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Braden Shick | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Braden Shick | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Trevor Svajda | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Young, Gavin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Li Tu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Stefan Kozlov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Sep | H | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Jul 2024 | James Trotter | 2 - 0 | Ozan Baris |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.96 | 51.0% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.79 | 55.9% | 26 Oct 06:15 |