| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.7% | 54% | -0.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 51.0% | 49.0% |
| logistic | 46.8% | 53.2% |
| Moise Kouame | Alexandre Muller | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1610 | 1645 |
| Surface Elo | 1610 | 1645 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 23 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Sep | A | Alexandre Muller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Florent Bax | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Sep | H | Filip Peliwo | 1 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Matsuda, Ryuki | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Moise Kouame | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Sep | H | Felix Balshaw | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Sep | H | Ziga Sesko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Aug | H | Coleman Wong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Aug | H | Guy Den Ouden | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep 2026 | Alexandre Muller | 2 - 0 | Moise Kouame |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.00 | 50.0% | 24 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.84 | 54.4% | 24 Sep 06:15 |