| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 71.0% | 68% | +3.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 88.7% | 89% | -0.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 86.2% | 85% | +0.9% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.5% | 58% | -2.3% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 49.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 70.4% | 19.0% | 10.7% |
| xgboost | 77.0% | 15.1% | 7.9% |
| logistic | 68.4% | 20.5% | 11.2% |
| Gent | Kortrijk | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1646 | 1390 |
| Surface Elo | 1646 | 1390 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 1.75 |
| Rest days | 6 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 4 W · 1 D |
| 05 Nov | A | Kuopion Palloseura | 0 - 0 | D |
| 01 Nov | A | Lommel SK | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Lommel SK | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | RSC Anderlecht | 4 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Anderlecht | 4 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Mechelen | 1 - 3 | L |
| 04 Nov | H | Yellow-Red KV Mechelen | 1 - 3 | L |
| 04 Nov | H | KV Mechelen | 1 - 3 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Standard | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | A | Standard | 1 - 1 | D |
| 16 Mar 2025 | Gent | 1 - 2 | Kortrijk |
| 28 Jul 2024 | Kortrijk | 0 - 1 | Gent |
| 26 Dec 2023 | Kortrijk | 0 - 2 | Gent |
| 30 Jul 2023 | Gent | 3 - 2 | Kortrijk |
| 15 Jan 2023 | Gent | 2 - 1 | Kortrijk |
| 13 Nov 2022 | Kortrijk | 0 - 4 | Gent |
| 14 Jan 2022 | Gent | 2 - 2 | Kortrijk |
| 19 Sep 2021 | Kortrijk | 1 - 0 | Gent |
| 26 Dec 2020 | Kortrijk | 1 - 0 | Gent |
| 15 Aug 2020 | Gent | 1 - 2 | Kortrijk |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.69 | 14.9% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.61 | 21.7% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.48 | 67.6% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.73 | 57.8% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 06 Nov 06:15 |