| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.6% | 52% | +3.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 41.9% | 58.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 42.7% | 57.2% |
| logistic | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| Federico Arnaboldi | Federico Iannaccone | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1461 | 1492 |
| Surface Elo | 1461 | 1492 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Sep | A | Marvin Moeller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Florian Broska | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Marvin Moeller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Florian Broska | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Juan Pablo Varillas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Luka Mikrut | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Maximo Zeitune | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Luka Mikrut | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Valerio Aboian | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Maxim Mrva | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.92 | 52.1% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.82 | 54.9% | 27 Sep 06:15 |