OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-10-25

NFL · Sunday 25 October 2026, 17:00 UTC · finished

Atlanta Falcons – 29 - 20 – San Francisco 49ers

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Away win	62.2%	60%	+2.7%	✗ miss

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	37.8%	62.2%

Inputs the models saw

	Atlanta Falcons	San Francisco 49ers
playoff	0.00
elo diff	-0.34
form diff	-0.38
rest diff	0.19
home field	1.00
point diff	-0.38
opponent strength diff	-0.10
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-10-24T17:00:00+00:00

Atlanta Falcons: last 5

18 Oct	H	Chicago Bears	23 - 31	L
12 Oct	H	Baltimore Ravens	23 - 30	L
06 Oct	A	New Orleans Saints	45 - 24	W
25 Sep	A	Green Bay Packers	35 - 14	W
20 Sep	H	Carolina Panthers	3 - 34	L

San Francisco 49ers: last 5

20 Oct	H	Washington Commanders	23 - 17	W
11 Oct	A	Seattle Seahawks	32 - 29	W
04 Oct	H	Denver Broncos	24 - 14	W
27 Sep	H	Arizona Cardinals	36 - 30	W
20 Sep	H	Miami Dolphins	35 - 13	W

Head to head

20 Oct 2025	San Francisco 49ers	20 - 10	Atlanta Falcons
16 Oct 2022	Atlanta Falcons	28 - 14	San Francisco 49ers
19 Dec 2021	San Francisco 49ers	31 - 13	Atlanta Falcons
15 Dec 2019	San Francisco 49ers	22 - 29	Atlanta Falcons
18 Dec 2016	Atlanta Falcons	41 - 13	San Francisco 49ers
08 Nov 2015	San Francisco 49ers	17 - 16	Atlanta Falcons
24 Dec 2013	San Francisco 49ers	34 - 24	Atlanta Falcons
20 Jan 2013	Atlanta Falcons	24 - 28	San Francisco 49ers
03 Oct 2010	Atlanta Falcons	16 - 14	San Francisco 49ers
11 Oct 2009	San Francisco 49ers	10 - 45	Atlanta Falcons

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	2.26	44.2%	25 Oct 14:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	1.72	58.1%	25 Oct 14:20

Generated 2026-10-30 18:17 UTC