OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-08
🇮🇹 Serie A · Sunday 08 November 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Genoa 2.40 1 - 2 2.00 Ac Milan
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 53.1%54%-0.5%✓ hit
DCDraw or away 77.2%81%-4.2%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 69.0%73%-4.2%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 52.9%47%+5.6%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 54.7%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson23.5%26.1%50.4%
xgboost23.7%21.3%55.0%
logistic21.8%26.6%51.6%
Inputs the models saw
GenoaAc Milan
Elo (pre-match)16291783
Surface Elo16291783
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.402.00
Form trend-0.30-0.10
Season points per game1.302.10
Season goals for / game1.002.10
Season goals against / game1.401.20
Rest days67
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W6 W · 4 D
Genoa: last 5
01 NovALecce2 - 1W
01 NovALecce2 - 1W
28 OctHJuventus2 - 0W
28 OctHJuventus2 - 0W
25 OctHVenezia1 - 0W
Ac Milan: last 5
08 NovHS.S.D. Virtus Ciseranobergamo3 - 0W
05 NovHFerencvarosi Budapest0 - 2L
31 OctHInter3 - 1W
31 OctHInter3 - 1W
28 OctHBologna2 - 4L
Head to head
17 May 2026Genoa1 - 2Ac Milan
08 Jan 2026Ac Milan1 - 1Genoa
05 May 2025Genoa1 - 2Ac Milan
15 Dec 2024Ac Milan0 - 0Genoa
05 May 2024Ac Milan3 - 3Genoa
07 Oct 2023Genoa0 - 1Ac Milan
15 Apr 2022Ac Milan2 - 0Genoa
01 Dec 2021Genoa0 - 3Ac Milan
18 Apr 2021Ac Milan2 - 1Genoa
16 Dec 2020Genoa2 - 2Ac Milan
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.9551.3%08 Nov 14:00
Bet3651X2draw3.4029.4%08 Nov 14:00
Bet3651X2home4.0025.0%08 Nov 14:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.9152.4%08 Nov 14:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.9152.4%08 Nov 14:00
SportyBet1X2away2.0249.5%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.5028.6%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home4.1823.9%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.1546.5%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.7357.8%08 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC