| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 64.8% | 72% | -7.5% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 30.3% | 69.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 29.3% | 70.6% |
| logistic | 38.6% | 61.4% |
| Ivan Ivanov | Enrico Dalla Valle | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1461 | 1595 |
| Surface Elo | 1461 | 1595 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 1.22 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.11 |
| Rest days | 7 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Izan Almazan Valiente | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Gabriele Crivellaro | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Daniel Michalski | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Laurent Lokoli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Manuel Mazza | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Federico Bondioli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Buvaysar Gadamauri | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Federico Bondioli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Francesco Passaro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Gabriele Piraino | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.39 | 71.9% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.85 | 35.1% | 20 Oct 06:15 |