| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.4% | 53% | -0.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 54.1% | 45.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 53.1% | 46.9% |
| logistic | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| Francesco Passaro | Zsombor Piros | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1757 | 1755 |
| Surface Elo | 1757 | 1755 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.70 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.90 | 1.57 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.60 | 0.86 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | H | Matej Dodig | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Marco Trungelliti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Tiago Torres | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Zsombor Piros | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Lorenzo Giustino | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Benjamin Hassan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Francesco Passaro | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Francesco Passaro | 2 - 1 | Zsombor Piros |
| 25 Mar 2024 | Francesco Passaro | 2 - 1 | Zsombor Piros |
| 04 Sep 2023 | Francesco Passaro | 1 - 2 | Zsombor Piros |
| 14 Mar 2022 | Francesco Passaro | 0 - 2 | Zsombor Piros |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.87 | 53.5% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.87 | 53.5% | 18 Oct 06:15 |