| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.5% | 63% | -7.4% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 82.6% | 86% | -3.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 75.4% | 80% | -4.2% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.0% | 71% | -15.9% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.8% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 57.7% | 23.1% | 19.2% |
| xgboost | 56.5% | 26.7% | 16.8% |
| logistic | 57.6% | 25.7% | 16.7% |
| Spartans | Bonnyrigg Rose | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1432 | 1324 |
| Surface Elo | 1432 | 1324 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 528 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 1 W · 3 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Edinburgh City | 3 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Edinburgh City | 3 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Kelty Hearts | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Kelty Hearts | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Dundee | 1 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Motherwell | 3 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Airdrieonians FC | 1 - 6 | L |
| 03 May | A | Stranraer | 1 - 0 | W |
| 26 Apr | H | Spartans | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Apr | A | Forfar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 2 - 1 | Spartans |
| 01 Mar 2025 | Spartans | 3 - 1 | Bonnyrigg Rose |
| 21 Jan 2025 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 2 - 2 | Spartans |
| 10 Aug 2024 | Spartans | 2 - 0 | Bonnyrigg Rose |
| 20 Apr 2024 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 0 - 1 | Spartans |
| 05 Mar 2024 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 2 - 2 | Spartans |
| 24 Feb 2024 | Spartans | 2 - 1 | Bonnyrigg Rose |
| 30 Sep 2023 | Spartans | 2 - 2 | Bonnyrigg Rose |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.50 | 22.2% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.40 | 22.7% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.59 | 62.9% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.41 | 70.9% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.75 | 36.4% | 13 Oct 06:15 |