| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.7% | 45% | +5.6% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 77.5% | 76% | +1.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 67.2% | 64% | +3.4% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.6% | 48% | +14.2% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 60.8% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 50.1% | 25.7% | 24.2% |
| xgboost | 48.0% | 26.9% | 25.2% |
| logistic | 50.3% | 26.0% | 23.6% |
| Granada | Valladolid | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1468 | 1396 |
| Surface Elo | 1468 | 1396 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 3.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 5 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 3 W · 1 D |
| 18 Oct | H | Cadiz | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Cadiz | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Burgos | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Burgos | 1 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Sociedad | 3 - 2 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Eldense | 2 - 3 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Eldense | 2 - 3 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Albacete | 5 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Albacete | 5 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Las Palmas | 2 - 2 | D |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Granada | 5 - 1 | Valladolid |
| 03 Nov 2025 | Valladolid | 2 - 1 | Granada |
| 11 Apr 2021 | Valladolid | 1 - 2 | Granada |
| 22 Nov 2020 | Granada | 1 - 3 | Valladolid |
| 15 Feb 2020 | Granada | 2 - 1 | Valladolid |
| 24 Sep 2019 | Valladolid | 1 - 1 | Granada |
| 09 Feb 2018 | Granada | 1 - 0 | Valladolid |
| 16 Sep 2017 | Valladolid | 2 - 1 | Granada |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.30 | 30.3% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.20 | 31.2% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.10 | 47.6% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.73 | 57.8% | 23 Oct 06:15 |