| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.9% | 63% | -5.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.7% | 44.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 49.6% | 50.3% |
| logistic | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Harold Mayot | Tristan Schoolkate | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1780 | 1632 |
| Surface Elo | 1780 | 1632 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.18 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.64 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.91 | 0.83 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | H | Niels Visker | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Clement Chidekh | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Niels Visker | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Titouan Droguet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Philip Henning | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Philip Henning | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Matteo Martineau | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Matteo Martineau | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Harold Mayot | 2 - 1 | Tristan Schoolkate |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Tristan Schoolkate | 0 - 2 | Harold Mayot |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Harold Mayot | 2 - 1 | Tristan Schoolkate |
| 09 Jun 2025 | Harold Mayot | 1 - 2 | Tristan Schoolkate |
| 05 Aug 2024 | Harold Mayot | 0 - 2 | Tristan Schoolkate |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.30 | 43.5% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.58 | 63.3% | 01 Oct 06:15 |