| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 45.8% | 32% | +13.8% | |
| DC | Home or away | 74.9% | 74% | +1.1% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 59.6% | 45% | +15.0% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.0% | 53% | -0.8% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.1% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 47.4% | 27.1% | 25.5% |
| xgboost | 38.7% | 24.6% | 36.7% |
| logistic | 41.2% | 30.0% | 28.8% |
| Coventry | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1641 | 1660 |
| Surface Elo | 1641 | 1660 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 7 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 0 W · 5 D |
| 24 Oct | H | Fulham | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Fulham | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Tottenham | 1 - 3 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Newcastle | 4 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Nottingham Forest | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Brentford | 3 - 2 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Leeds | 0 - 0 | D |
| 25 Oct | H | Leeds | 0 - 0 | D |
| 22 Oct | A | KKS Lech Poznan | 1 - 1 | D |
| 18 Oct | A | Bournemouth | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Coventry | 3 - 0 | Sunderland |
| 09 Nov 2024 | Sunderland | 2 - 2 | Coventry |
| 23 Dec 2023 | Sunderland | 0 - 3 | Coventry |
| 26 Aug 2023 | Coventry | 0 - 0 | Sunderland |
| 25 Feb 2023 | Coventry | 2 - 1 | Sunderland |
| 31 Jul 2022 | Sunderland | 1 - 1 | Coventry |
| 01 Mar 2020 | Coventry | 1 - 0 | Sunderland |
| 23 Nov 2019 | Sunderland | 1 - 1 | Coventry |
| 13 Apr 2019 | Sunderland | 4 - 5 | Coventry |
| 29 Sep 2018 | Coventry | 1 - 1 | Sunderland |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.40 | 41.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.48 | 28.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.16 | 31.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.94 | 51.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.91 | 52.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |