OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
🇮🇹 Serie A · Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:00 UTC · finished
Inter 2.60 3 - 0 0.80 Parma
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 67.9%87%-19.1%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 90.3%98%-8.1%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 86.0%98%-11.8%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 58.8%74%-15.0%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 54.0%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson75.6%15.9%8.5%
xgboost86.7%8.2%5.2%
logistic84.3%11.9%3.8%
Inputs the models saw
InterParma
Elo (pre-match)19191607
Surface Elo19191607
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.600.80
Form trend0.40-0.60
Season points per game2.600.80
Season goals for / game3.000.80
Season goals against / game1.601.40
Rest days2120
Head-to-head (last 10)6 W1 W · 3 D
Inter: last 5
10 OctAAC Savoia 19081 - 2L
20 SepHFoggia3 - 2W
19 SepARoma2 - 2D
14 SepHUdinese5 - 3W
05 SepHNapoli3 - 2W
Parma: last 5
20 SepHGenoa2 - 1W
14 SepAComo1 - 2L
06 SepHMonza1 - 1D
29 AugAJuventus0 - 2L
22 AugHCagliari0 - 1L
Head to head
03 May 2026Inter2 - 0Parma
07 Jan 2026Parma0 - 2Inter
05 Apr 2025Parma2 - 2Inter
06 Dec 2024Inter3 - 1Parma
04 Mar 2021Parma1 - 2Inter
31 Oct 2020Inter2 - 2Parma
28 Jun 2020Parma1 - 2Inter
26 Oct 2019Inter2 - 2Parma
09 Feb 2019Parma0 - 1Inter
15 Sep 2018Inter0 - 1Parma
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away15.006.7%10 Oct 17:00
Bet3651X2draw7.0014.3%10 Oct 17:00
Bet3651X2home1.1884.8%10 Oct 17:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.4071.4%10 Oct 17:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under3.0033.3%10 Oct 17:00
SportyBet1X2away19.745.1%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw9.6210.4%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.1686.2%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.3574.1%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under3.3030.3%10 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:17 UTC