OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-12
🎾 ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles · Monday 12 October 2026, 08:20 UTC · finished
Arthur Fils 1.80 0 - 2 1.80 Botic Van De Zandschulp
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 79.5%81%-1.8%✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov69.2%30.8%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost85.6%14.3%
logistic72.0%28.0%
Inputs the models saw
Arthur FilsBotic Van De Zandschulp
Elo (pre-match)20751854
Surface Elo20751854
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.801.80
Form trend0.30-0.30
Season points per game2.251.80
Season goals for / game1.751.40
Season goals against / game0.501.20
Rest days21
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W0 W · 0 D
Arthur Fils: last 5
12 OctHBotic Van De Zandschulp0 - 2L
10 OctHPavel Kotov2 - 0W
10 OctHPavel Kotov2 - 0W
04 OctAValentin Vacherot1 - 2L
04 OctHValentin Vacherot1 - 2L
Botic Van De Zandschulp: last 5
12 OctAArthur Fils2 - 0W
10 OctHAlex Michelsen2 - 0W
10 OctAAlex Michelsen2 - 0W
08 OctHDaniel Merida2 - 1W
08 OctHDaniel Merida2 - 1W
Head to head
12 Oct 2026Arthur Fils0 - 2Botic Van De Zandschulp
13 May 2024Arthur Fils2 - 1Botic Van De Zandschulp
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away4.4522.5%11 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.2381.3%11 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:53 UTC